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https://www.nba.com/news/kia-rookie-ladder-dec-13-2023-edition

(All stats through Tuesday, Dec. 12)


 ▲ 1 | Victor Wembanyama  | SAS |  18.8 ppg,10.6 rpg, 2.6 apg
 ▲ 9 | Brandin Podziemski | GSW |   8.1 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 2.4 apg


Few NBA rookies, no matter how lofty the expectations for their eventual
careers, get held responsible for immediate W-L success. By draft design, the
best ones typically go to the neediest teams, who have more problems than any
20- or 21-year-old can solve.

But elite rookies are supposed to make some difference. The very best have
turned their teams into instant contenders – think Kareem Abdul-Jabbar (+29
victories), Larry Bird (+32) and David Robinson (+35).

Certainly, teams aren’t supposed to get worse when they add a hot prospect.
But that’s how it is for now with Victor Wembanyama and his 3-19 San Antonio
Spurs.

Few NBA rookies, no matter how lofty the expectations for their eventual
careers, get held responsible for immediate W-L success. By draft design, the
best ones typically go to the neediest teams, who have more problems than any
20- or 21-year-old can solve.

But elite rookies are supposed to make some difference. The very best have
turned their teams into instant contenders – think Kareem Abdul-Jabbar (+29
victories), Larry Bird (+32) and David Robinson (+35).

Certainly, teams aren’t supposed to get worse when they add a hot prospect.
But that’s how it is for now with Victor Wembanyama and his 3-19 San Antonio
Spurs.



但頂級的新秀應該能夠產生一些影響。而這些球員通常能讓他們的球隊迅速變成具競爭性
球隊-想想Kareem Abdul-Jabbar（+29勝）、 Larry Bird（+32勝）和David Robinson
（+35勝）。

當然，球隊不應該在加入一位熱門新秀後變得更差。
但就目前而言，這正是Victor Wembanyama和聖安東尼奧馬刺隊的現狀。

A little history

To keep this simple, we’ll look solely at Rookie of the Year winners, who
did well enough in their debut seasons to earn that award. Over the past 30
years, across 32 players (two ties), only four came from teams that finished
with fewer than 20 victories.

The Spurs are on pace to win 11.

The fewest victories for a ROY winner’s team since 1993 was 16, by Andrew
Wiggins’ 2014-15 Minnesota Timberwolves. The other three below 20: Chicago’
s Elton Brand (17 in 2000), Emeka Okafor (18 in 2005) and Michael
Carter-Williams (19 in 2014).

Go back another 33 years and (34 players) to Wilt Chamberlain, the greatest
rookie for whom the award is named, and you’ll only add two more sub-20
winners. Sidney Wicks’ Portland team in 1971-72 and Walt Bellamy’s New
Yorker team in 1960-61 each won 18 times.

一點歷史



- 而馬刺目前僅預測取得 11勝。

- 自1993年以來，年度最佳新秀獎所處球隊最低勝場數是16場，由 Andrew Wiggins
（2014-15賽季灰狼隊）取得。其他三位低於20勝的球隊分別為 Elton Brand (2000年公牛，
17勝）、Emeka Okafor（2005年山貓，18勝）、Michael Carter-Williams（2014年76人，
19勝）

- 再往前推33年（34位球員）到 Wilt Chamberlain獲得新人王，你只能再找到另外兩位
勝場數低於20場的新人王。拓荒者 Sidney Wick在1971-72賽季拿下18勝，和Walt Bellamy
在1960-61賽季也一樣拿了18勝。

What’s at stake

Sure, it still is early. San Antonio only has to go 17-43 to reach 20 wins
and keep Wembanyama out of this club.

But the other top ROY contender, Chet Holmgren, plays on a Thunder team that
already has won 15 – more than the Spurs might manage all season. At its
current pace, OKC would finish 56-26, nail down a top playoff seed … and
open a gap too big for the voters to ignore.

And there’s this: The past eight ROY winners all helped their teams improve
that first season. The average gain: 12 victories. The Spurs would need to go
31-29 the rest of the season to improve by a dozen games on last year’s
22-60.

有什麼危機呢?

- 當然，現在還很早。馬刺只需在接下來的比賽中取得17勝43負，就能達到20勝，讓
Wembanyama 脫離這個窘境。


加：12場勝利。馬刺需要在本季剩餘比賽中取得31勝29敗，才能比去年的22勝60敗，多12
場勝場。

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看來斑馬是有機會挑戰歷史最低勝場數新人王  https://imgur.com/5iQGIWT

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※ 作者: love1500274 2023-12-14 06:42:24
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